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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 24 fixture, according to statistics

The Premier League shows no sign of becoming dull, despite thoughts Liverpool were set to run away with the title.

A draw with Leicester City on Wednesday ensured they were unable to get too far away from Manchester City, while Tottenham’s triumph over Watford sees them gain on the two title challengers.

Elsewhere, Bournemouth beat Chelsea 4-0 in a stunning result, while Fulham thrilled with a 4-2 comeback win over Brighton & Hove Albion.

Arsenal claimed a 2-1 win over Cardiff City to send themselves fourth and Manchester United’s winning start under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer ended with a 2-2 draw with Burnley.

But do the results we got reflect what actually happened in the matches we witnessed?

Find out below how every team performed compared to their expected goals in the 24th round of Premier League matches thanks to statistics from Understat.com…


Arsenal vs Cardiff City

Real result: 2-1
xG result: 2.67-0.58

Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Real result: 4-2
xG result: 3.30-2.25

Huddersfield Town vs Everton

Real result: 0-1
xG result: 0.74-1.07

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Ham

Real result: 3-0
xG result: 2.02-0.13

Manchester United vs Burnley

Real result: 2-2
xG result: 2.87-0.93

Newcastle United vs Manchester City

Real result: 2-1
xG result: 0.96-1.34

Bournemouth vs Chelsea

Real result: 4-0
xG result: 2.15-0.76

Southampton vs Crystal Palace

Real result: 1-1
xG result: 1.33-0.97

Liverpool vs Leicester City

Real result: 1-1
xG result: 0.55-1.09

Tottenham Hotspur vs Watford

Real result: 2-1
xG result: 1.36-0.74

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